Uganda Agricultural Risk Profile

Drawing on easily available information, this country-risk brief presents a high-level quantitative analysis of the Ugandan agricultural risk profile. The brief highlights the contribution of agriculture to the Ugandan economy, how the sector has grown between 1990 and 2013, the major agricultural products, and how vulnerable people are to risks. It also provides background information on the various forms of risks including production, market, and macro level risks.

The brief identifies the three most important agricultural risks in Uganda as crop pests and diseases, output prices, and post-harvest losses. Endemic livestock diseases, drought, counterfeit inputs, and depreciating currency, are also considered as high-level risks. As annual national averages are used, the brief does not present local and seasonal observations. The scope of the analysis is also limited by the lack of price and output data for livestock products. Price data was also obtained for only the period between 2001 and 2013 but for a small number of crops, limiting the depth of the risk assessment.